March 2021 Sacramento Area Housing Market Update



Median.pngMarch 2021 Sacramento area housing market update is another interesting blog, written by Josh Amolsch; these are his views and agree or disagree the data always tells a story. Remember, these are merely opinions as none of us have a crystal ball on the real estate market; at best we are guessing about the future.  Sacramento is a much different market compared to many other cities in the US, due to the proximity of migration here from the bay area and how Covid-19 fundamentally changed the workplace to home offices from brick and mortar. The record-low interest rates and how long they last perhaps will have the greatest impact on the current housing demand.  Enjoy–JaCi Wallace.


Diving right into the meat of what everyone wants to know about the March 2021 Sacramento area housing market update, we see that the Median single-family home price spiked yet again. We are now at $485,000 in March, about a $39,000 increase just since January. When was the last time you made almost $40K in two months? As the affluent people reading this chuckle to themselves, just wait when the dips start occurring. While no seasoned professional sees a 2008 style crash coming, there most certainly should be a correction. My guess is within the next 12 months. I wonder if anyone is tracking where these small amounts of Sacramento area sellers are going once they sell. Yeah, it is great to make a pile of cash on your home in this epic, once-in-a-generation seller’s market, but then they step into buyer hell of trying to find a decent home in a decent neighborhood for a decent price. Aha, decency in California must be eroding just as fast as affordability. I crack myself up.



The graph above shows an average of 14 days on the market for single-family homes in Sacramento County. But man, let me tell you, the real number is probably 4-5 for homes most buyers are chasing. It is the “new normal” to pay over 10% above asking in some cases for a home that is decent. Gather those gift funds and get ready to swing a hammer. Sacramento has changed forever. New money is here and that sweet smell of trickle-down inadequacy from the state, county, and city planning will be with us for years to come. I have said it before and I will say it again, let the builders build. Incentivize the builders so that we can gain a supply of homes. Encourage vocational learning, build up the skilled worker stock. What, are we going to be expected to call a hipster software programmer to fix a leaky pipe in the future? It would be foolish to fix a flat tire by hammering another nail into it.


I know, just another middle-aged guy complaining about stuff.  Well, I think it is discrimination to punish people through excessive taxation and to limit their freedoms. Also, what about all of the hard-working people that just want to have a home of their own but don’t have a chance right now because of the policy decisions that keep supply from keeping up with demand? Fair housing laws sound good on paper, but by action, the powers that be are not doing enough to meet that standard of Fair housing for those who are playing the game right and are trying to make a life for themselves. We all depend on the Government to pull the strings, to an extent, to provide better lives for us all.
Well, the good news is that people can move. For the ones that are paying attention, plans may already be in place. While myself and all of my top producer friends don’t see a big crash coming. What will make a big difference soon for homeowners thinking about selling, is there will be much less competition among buyers. This “King of the Hill” moment for sellers is likely coming to an end one day, but when is the bigger question? Ask a Realtor, ask an appraiser, ask a politician, ask a subdivision new home builder for their opinion on how long the Sacramento real estate seller’s market will last and you likely will get many different timelines, as no one knows for sure.
If you would like to buy or sell a real estate property please contact Weintraub & Wallace Realtors with RE/MAX Gold. We can be reached at 916-233-6759.
         — Josh Amolsch

Josh Amolsch









  Weintraub & Wallace Realtors


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